Monday, June 07, 2010
After a disastrous Winter Olympics session, a not so good NHL playoffs, I need to get back in the game!! what's better than the World Cup to do that...
Let's find out who is gonna win
One very revealing statistic is that since 1962, the trophy has been swaped hands between an European and a South American country every 4 years. And when you add that no northern hemisphere team has ever won in the southern hemisphere, the history tells us there is a pretty good chance a team from South American will win the cup this year.
So between Brazil ( +450 ) and Argentina ( +650 ), it's easy to pick Brazil since I don't like the vibes God a.k.a Maradona is sending to the team, not picking Cambiasso, winner of the Champions League cup and most valuable player is an absolute outrage. Let's say a star player taking on management has never been a big success story. Just asked Michael Jordan and Wayne Gretzky.
So you use Brazil as a security blanket, that means whatever amount you wanna bet on the world cup, you securize it by betting the same total winning on the Brazil.
Let say i wanna bet 200 bucks on other stuff, i'm gonna bet 50 bucks on Brazil so I even things out and the other bets fells like house money :)
So first bet of the 2010 World CUP
Brazil +450 : Bet 40 $ To Win : 180$
Let say i can pick another country to win it all, who do i really like.
Not Spain, I think they are still a bit young for World Cup celebrations, same for Holland. Germany just suffered a big blow in the nuts with the injury of captain and quaterback Michael Ballack. England could be a good choice but the one team that is really interesting to take considering the odds are Italy.
They are the defending champion, they brought back the wall of Berlin who allowed 2 goals in the entire tourney last cup ( Buffon, Cannavaro and Gattuso ) with the same coach. They got good offensive talents, Gilardino and Di Natale ( top goal scorer in Italia A league ). I really like them, I mean REALLY like them
Italy +1200, Bet 100$ To Win 1200$
Top World Cup Scorer : Antonio Di Natale (Italy) +5000, Bet 10$ To Win 500$
Finally, just because I liked those bunch of crazy people and wish all the best
Meiiicoooo +6600, Bet 15$ Win To 990$
And because i have a good feeling, and France didn't really impress anyone so far
Group A Final Standing : 1st - Mexico 2nd - France +700, Bet 50$ , To win 350$
Finally two last bets on some dude in Germany that I like
Top Goal Scorer World Cup Lukas Podolski (Germany) +5000, Bet 10$ To win 500$
Miroslav Klose (Germany) Over 2.5 Goal +120, Bet 35$, To Win 50$
thats gonna be it .. for now